I promise not to write about hockey often on this blog but I'd like to put up my list of most likely Stanley Cup winners for this year. These are my top 10 favorites.
1. Anaheim
This team is just sick and with the late-season additions of Niedermayer and Selanne, they've got a lot of extra boost for the playoffs.
KEY TO THEIR SUCCESS: Health. This team discarded Bryzgalov like old milk and that might come back to haunt them if Giguere has any health issues in the post-season.
2. Montreal
If Carey Price can hold up, this team will remain hot through the post-season and give any Eastern Conference team a difficult challenge. Montreal is a proud, snobby French Canadien team and they might pull out all the stops to win a cup just to stick it in Danny Briere's face for not signing there.
KEY TO THEIR SUCCESS: Goaltending. Price is a franchise goalie but the Habs may have given up too early on Huet. It's sink or swim time and I think Price will float effortlessly.
3. Detroit
These guys are perennial post-season underachievers but they've got all the makings of Cup winners, not to mention the fact that they've been the best team in the league all season. Everyone should be back off of IR just in time to bolster their lineup for a push through the playoffs.
KEY TO THEIR SUCCESS: Goaltending. Osgood had an unbelievably good start to his season. Then, he signed a new contract and forgot how to stop a puck from going into the net much like Beavis and Butt-head forgot how to pee.
4. Calgary
I may be one of the last people to believe that Mike Keenan is a worthwhile coach. The Flames have made it oh-so-close in recent years and Keenan's aggressiveness might be just the edge that they need to will themselves to play high enough above their abilities to surpass any other Western Conference team. Kiprusoff has finally earned a few shutouts and Iginla is having another stellar but unrecognized year. Everyone forgets about the Flames because they're just not a sexy team at all. There's no allure. It's time for them to step up and make the rest of the league recognize.
KEY TO THEIR SUCCESS: Huselius, Langkow, and Nolan. Huselius and Langkow need to step up their production in the next month and Nolan can hopefully provide the locker room leadership to guide this team's hunger for their first Cup in almost 20 years.
6. New Jersey
Aside from Brodeur this team has, umm, nobody and nobody. Ovechkin will probably score more goals than their leading point-getter will tally for goals and assists. All it will take to destroy this team will be one cheap hit by a flying Scott Hartnell into the crease. Brodeur goes down and, boom, this team will never win another game again. Do I condone that, no? I'm just saying there's a huge flaw in their game plan and, sooner or later, someone will be desperate enough to exploit it. Or, Marty will just retire and let the rest of the Atlantic Division breathe a much needed sigh of relief.
KEY TO THEIR SUCCESS: Brodeur, Brodeur, Brodeur. They've got nothing else to go on.
7. Dallas
This team has only won one game in March so far but they only lost two in all of February. They're solid and now they've got Brad Richards to boot. Losing Mike Smith will hurt them in the long run but, for now, they'll ride the Richards gravy train for as long as they can. That means a much better powerplay and more overall goal scoring.
KEY TO THEIR SUCCESS: Mike Ribeiro. He's been phenomenal this year and, as long as he doesn't collapse in the post-season, this team will have a good shot at the Cup.
8. Pittsburgh
I'm crazy, right? This team has Crosby, Malkin, Hossa, et al. What's to prevent them from winning a Cup? I don't think they're ready yet. Mentally, I don't think they'll be able to pull it together and I think any team that plays Pittsburgh will crush Crosby. Hossa hasn't played a game for Pittsburgh yet and he'll only get a handful in before the playoffs. At such a critical juncture, throwing such a big piece into the puzzle may only throw off the team's chemistry. They might be a step behind and still trying to get it together when the playoffs start.
KEY TO THEIR SUCCESS: Malkin has to continue scoring at the torrid pace he was in February.
9. Philadelphia
I know, they've struggled but there are three key factors to look at here: 1. The absence of Mike Richards has forced Jeff Carter's growth to turn a corner and, since he's entering a contract year, he's got a lot to prove. 2. The Flyers are getting Mike Richards, Joffrey Lupul, and Derian Hatcher back in the nick of time. They'll be healthy, well rested, and ready to add a ton of firepower and defensive power to this lineup. 3. Vaclav Prospal has been the perfect fit for Briere. He's got his season back on track and the two are quickly becoming an unstoppable offensive juggernaut.
KEY TO THEIR SUCCESS: Goaltending stability. Biron has lost his confidence since having a short stint as Niittymaki's second fiddle. If he can get back into the grove he was in at the beginning of the season, nobody may be able to stop this team.
10. Washington
You must be thinking I've completely lost it. This team is 10th in the East and has to catapult over two teams just to make it into the playoffs. Don't count them out just yet, though. Ovechkin is impossibly good, Semin is finally healthy, and Backstrom is firing on all cylinders. Huet was a key pickup at the deadline to provide the Caps with some much needed solid netminding. Also, it's possible -- though not probable -- that Nylander could return for the playoffs, giving Washington some depth. I wouldn't count on seeing Nylander but I think the Caps are my favorite dark horse team this year.
KEY TO THEIR SUCCESS: Ovechkin and Huet have a lot of weight they'll be carrying on their shoulders. If they can manage the load, who knows what will happen?
Notable Neglects
San Jose
I just don't think the Brians (Campbell and Boucher) will be the missing pieces to the puzzle for them. They've had a good year, considering how poorly Marleau and Cheechoo have played for most of the season and the only way they stand a chance is if these guys put this year behind them and start playing like they want to earn their paycheck.
Ottawa
Everyone will tell you that Ray Emery is a cancer. He hurts the team. He has already lost his short-lived job as the #1 goalie for the team. Gerber is playing better again but the team around him isn't.
New York Rangers
The Yankees try to hire all the talent in the world and it doesn't work for them. Why would it work for the Rangers? You'll hear me say the same thing again in mid-September about the Mets.
Boston
Tim Thomas imploded and everyone's scrambling for answers on that team. They're heading in the wrong direction. While they're busy losing, there are plenty of anxious teams behind them, willing to take their spot in the Conference. I would not be surprised at all to see Washington take the #8 spot and Boston lose out on a playoff berth all together.
Labels: hockey